HOME›NEW YORK›PAUL TONKO

HOUSE · NEW YORK · D

Paul Tonko

VACANCY RISK

● HIGH

Born before the transistor was invented

AGE NOW

77

TERM END AGE

78

SPECIAL ELECTION

$60M

TERM COMPLETION PROBABILITY0%

IN OFFICE SINCE 200917 YRS

'10

'20

✦ HUMAN DECENCY SCORES

🌿 ENVIRONMENT

98/100?

💰 FISCAL RESP.3/3 pro-fiscal votes?

🤝 PEOPLE FIRST3/4 pro-people votes?

📋 ATTENDANCE99% votes cast?

🤝 BIPARTISAN0% cross-party votes?

✦ AGE APPROPRIATE ALTERNATIVES

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

U.S. Representative · D · Age 36 → 37 at term end

🌿 ENVIRONMENT

98/100?

🤝 PEOPLE FIRST2/3 pro-people votes?

📋 ATTENDANCE97% votes cast?

🤝 BIPARTISAN25% cross-party votes?

TERM COMPLETION PROBABILITY

INCUMBENT

89%

ALTERNATIVE

99%

Ritchie Torres

U.S. Representative · D · Age 38 → 39 at term end

🌿 ENVIRONMENT

98/100?

🤝 PEOPLE FIRST3/3 pro-people votes?

📋 ATTENDANCE97% votes cast?

🤝 BIPARTISAN0% cross-party votes?

TERM COMPLETION PROBABILITY

INCUMBENT

89%

ALTERNATIVE

99%

⚡ DECLARED CHALLENGERS — 2026 RACE

Ralph Ambrosio

Republican Challenger · New York

U.S. House · 2026

AGENot yet available

🌿 ENVIRONMENT🔍 RESEARCH OPPTY

🤝 PEOPLE FIRST🔍 RESEARCH OPPTY

📋 ATTENDANCE— Not yet serving

Jack Fu

Independent Challenger · New York

U.S. House · 2026

AGENot yet available

🌿 ENVIRONMENT🔍 RESEARCH OPPTY

🤝 PEOPLE FIRST🔍 RESEARCH OPPTY

📋 ATTENDANCE— Not yet serving

Kevin M. Waltz

Republican Challenger · New York

U.S. House · 2026

AGENot yet available

🌿 ENVIRONMENT🔍 RESEARCH OPPTY

🤝 PEOPLE FIRST🔍 RESEARCH OPPTY

📋 ATTENDANCE— Not yet serving